WP5: Business & community impact assessment
Objectives:
Develop a model to assess the Socioeconomic, Community and Organizational (SCO) response to natural hazard events. Integrate the SCO model into the TwinCity engine.
Description of Work:
Task 5.1: Socioeconomic, Community and Organizational Resilience Model (RG) A socioeconomic model of users (residents and visitors), local economy (production and consumption of goods, services), services), small businesses, and local governance will be generated, offering a hierarchical model of the urban community. Directed surveys, expert opinion elicitation, end user input and literature data will be employed to provide the necessary information for model building. A range of community resilience assessment tools will be employed, offering a combination of existing impact assessment models and methodologies that range from simple damage assessment functions to advanced simulation models suitably parameterized and customized. The end result will allow a user to investigate the overall impact of the various hazards to the pilot area as well as the efficiency of any proposed adaptation and mitigation policies in a quantitative way. A kriging-based fast-running surrogate model will also be created to offer near-real-time assessment of system state and operability, incorporating sensor data and observer reports to provide a best-available rapid report of area status at the system level. This will allow us (a) to painlessly run pre-event what-if scenarios and (b) to obtain a rapid trans/post-event assessment of the impact of any extreme event that will be updated continuously as new data is incorporated and background simulations start catching up to develop a more accurate picture.
Task 5.2: Holistic Impact Assessment Engine (NTUA) The integrated model and associated software engine to combine the physical and SCO impact will be coded. Different levels of SCO models and tools will be applied to offer different resolutions in assessing the impact of scenario events on the urban community in direct support of WP6 and WP7.